Super Bowl LXI Odds: Favorites, NFL Season Dates and How to Bet

---

By the SportBar.Casino editorial team. Last updated: November 3, 2026.

Independent editorial guide. Sportbar.casino may receive affiliate compensation if users register through links on this page. This does not affect our coverage. 18+. Play responsibly. Responsible Gambling.

Super Bowl LXI at a Glance

The basics first, because two of them shape the betting more than they seem to: where the game is played, and who is defending the title.

Date	Sunday, February 14, 2027
Venue	SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California (home of the Rams and Chargers)
Broadcast (US)	ESPN and ABC, with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman on the call
Defending champion	Seattle Seahawks, 29–13 winners over New England in Super Bowl LX
Season opener	September 9, 2026: Seahawks 13, Patriots 10
Current favorite	Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers: both +600 at bet365 in the Nov 2 snapshot (14.3% implied each), both 6–1
Unbeaten teams	None: Minnesota fell to 6–1 after losing 19–15 in Detroit on November 1

Super Bowl LX was played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara on February 8, 2026. Seattle built its lead with field goals, kept New England's offense quiet all night, and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Running back Kenneth Walker was named MVP after 135 rushing yards on 27 carries. Seven months later the two teams met again to open the new season, and Seattle won a much tighter game 13–10: Drake Maye threw three interceptions, the last of them to Josh Jobe to seal it.

Super Bowl LXI Odds: The Current Board

The table uses one bookmaker throughout: bet365 prices in the November 2 sportsbook comparison, checked on November 3. Records include games completed through November 1. Chicago and Seattle retain their pre-Monday records because a final score was not available in the sources checked. The historical column is our October 27 DraftKings snapshot, so differences between columns reflect both time and bookmaker; they are not a like-for-like measure of line movement. Implied probabilities include the bookmaker's margin.

Team	Record	Oct 27 DraftKings	Nov 2 bet365	Implied chance
Buffalo Bills	6–1	+700	+600	14.3%
San Francisco 49ers	6–1	+580	+600	14.3%
Jacksonville Jaguars	5–2	+1200	+1000	9.1%
Seattle Seahawks	4–3*	+1100	+1000	9.1%
Chicago Bears	5–2*	+1400	+1000	9.1%
Kansas City Chiefs	5–2	+900	+1100	8.3%
Los Angeles Rams	4–4	+1050	+1100	8.3%
Cincinnati Bengals	5–2	+1600	+1600	5.9%
Detroit Lions	5–2	+2100	+1600	5.9%
Denver Broncos	6–2	+1900	+1600	5.9%
New England Patriots	5–3	+1900	+2000	4.8%
Minnesota Vikings	6–1	+1700	+2000	4.8%

* Chicago and Seattle records exclude their November 2 meeting. This is a dated snapshot, not a live odds feed.

Buffalo and San Francisco are joint shortest at +600 in this bet365 snapshot. Jacksonville, Seattle and Chicago follow at +1000. Detroit enters our twelve-team table at +1600; Baltimore drops out, with bet365 listing the Ravens at +4000. Other books differ: the same comparison lists Buffalo at +550 at BetMGM, Caesars and FanDuel.

Prices at individual books will differ from these by a few points either way, and that gap is the whole reason to compare before you bet. A team at +1400 in one place and +1600 in another is the same ticket at two different prices; over a season of futures, taking the better number is worth more than most tips.

Week 8: Buffalo Wins Big, Minnesota Loses Its Unbeaten Record

Buffalo beat Baltimore 36–10 to reach 6–1. Lamar Jackson's return ended with a thumb injury, and backup Tyler Huntley also left hurt. That leaves the Ravens 4–4 with renewed uncertainty at quarterback. Detroit beat Minnesota 19–15, ending the league's last unbeaten start and leaving the Vikings 6–1.

Denver beat Kansas City 28–24; the Broncos are 6–2 and the Chiefs 5–2 after consecutive defeats. Jacksonville reached 5–2 by beating Indianapolis 42–7. The Rams beat the Chargers 24–9 to reach 4–4, Cincinnati beat Tennessee 43–36 in overtime, and New England won 24–19 in Miami.

Results: NFL.com's Week 8 report. San Francisco was on bye. The Seattle game center did not provide a confirmed final score for Bears–Seahawks when checked, so this update excludes that result.

Week 7: San Francisco and Kansas City Lose for the First Time

Chicago beat New England 30–24 at Soldier Field on October 22. Caleb Williams, long past the hamstring injury that cost him part of September, threw for 308 yards and two touchdowns without an interception, his second straight 300-yard game. Drake Maye was just as productive on paper, 24 of 31 for 321 yards, but one throw decided it: a second-quarter interception in the end zone that the Bears turned into a touchdown on the next drive. New England pulled within 27–21 and the defense got two stops, yet the offense never found the go-ahead score. Cairo Santos, who had missed from 53 earlier, then hit a career-long 58-yarder to make it a two-score game.

That leaves the Bears 5–2 and the Patriots 4–3, ending a three-game winning streak. New England played with third-string guards on both sides of the line, and its DraftKings price went out from +1800 to +1900.

San Francisco lost 29–20 in Atlanta on Sunday. The 49ers led 14–3 early in the second quarter and then gave up 23 points in a row. Four turnovers decided it: a Kaelon Black fumble, two Brock Purdy interceptions and a late fumble by George Kittle. Christian McCaffrey hurt his thigh on the opening drive and did little after that. On yardage San Francisco was the better team, 400 to 295, which helps explain why DraftKings moved the price by only 40 points.

Sunday night was worse for the other unbeaten team. Seattle beat Kansas City 20–3, and the Chiefs finished with 213 yards and never reached the red zone, something that had not happened before in a regular-season game started by Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker, back in Seattle for the first time since his Super Bowl MVP, ran for 36 yards. Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught nine passes for 150 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City went out from +750 to +900, and Seattle, now 4–3, came in to +1100.

Minnesota is the only unbeaten team left after a 16–10 win over Indianapolis, sealed by a Harrison Smith interception in the final two minutes. The Vikings have scored 125 points in six games, and that is why the market still prices them behind nine teams. Cincinnati trailed Baltimore 13–0 at halftime, then scored five straight touchdowns and won 35–13, Joe Burrow throwing four of them after the break. Baltimore is still without Lamar Jackson. The Rams beat Las Vegas 35–21 with 199 rushing yards, and Matthew Stafford's three touchdown passes made him the franchise's career leader. Denver beat Arizona 30–16, and Detroit won 20–17 against Green Bay on a field goal as time expired, which puts the Lions at +2100, just outside the table.

Those were the October 27 prices; the Week 8 update above covers the following Sunday's results.

Weeks 5 and 6: What Moved the Board

Two games in four days decided the top of the table. San Francisco won 32–29 in Seattle on October 11, with Brock Purdy leading two late scoring drives on a day Sam Darnold threw two interceptions. The next night the Rams hosted Buffalo and lost 37–34 in overtime. Matthew Stafford completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and three touchdowns, Puka Nacua caught 17 balls, and it still went the other way after a blocked field goal and 121 rushing yards from Josh Allen.

Week 6 was worse for Los Angeles. Arizona won 18–16 at SoFi on Chad Ryland's sixth field goal of the day, kicked as time expired. That is three losses by a combined nine points, which is partly bad luck, and the market has priced it as if the luck will last. San Francisco closed the week 6–0 with a 23–17 Monday night win over Washington, Christian McCaffrey scoring twice.

Kansas City had a bye in Week 5 and then beat the Chargers 22–6. Kenneth Walker, last February's Super Bowl MVP with Seattle, ran for 128 yards and two touchdowns against them. Buffalo held off Las Vegas 33–30, a game in which Allen tied Jim Kelly's franchise record for touchdown passes. Seattle lost again, 17–14 in overtime in Denver on October 15, settled by a Ja'Quan McMillian interception and a 53-yard Wil Lutz field goal, and is now 3–3.

Further down, New England scored 45 against Las Vegas and won 26–19 against the Jets. Jacksonville beat Philadelphia 19–17 in London and lost 34–31 to Houston at Wembley a week later on a last-second 49-yarder from Ka'imi Fairbairn. Chicago was beaten 31–7 in Green Bay, then won 31–23 in Atlanta. Minnesota won 23–13 in New Orleans before its bye.

Weeks 3 and 4: What Moved the Board

The Rams split two road games. They lost 30–26 in Denver on September 28 and won 24–20 in Philadelphia a week later, which is roughly what a +600 favorite is supposed to look like, and books moved them only to +650. Buffalo beat the Chargers 24–16, then lost 29–26 at home to New England on October 4, the first defeat of the season for a team whose defense had already given up 62 points in two games.

San Francisco is 4–0 after a 36–30 shootout with Arizona and a 24–14 win over Denver. Kansas City won at Miami 24–10 and at Las Vegas 30–27, Baltimore edged Dallas 34–31 in Rio de Janeiro and then beat Tennessee 24–18, and Minnesota allowed 26 points across the same two weeks in wins over Tampa Bay and Miami. Seattle lost 33–31 in Washington before beating the Chargers 30–23.

Week 5 opened on October 8 with Tampa Bay winning 24–16 in Dallas, which left the Cowboys 2–3.

Weeks 1 and 2: What Moved the Board

The Rams lost their opener 27–7 to San Francisco in Melbourne on the night of September 10, the NFL's first regular-season game in Australia, and DraftKings pushed them from +500 to +600 the next morning. Eleven days later they beat the Giants 28–6 on Monday Night Football at SoFi. Matthew Stafford went 22 of 31 for 327 yards and four touchdowns, and Davante Adams caught eight passes for 195 yards and two scores. The Giants lost quarterback Jaxson Dart to a knee injury on their seventh snap, though, so the score flatters the Rams a little. Books seem to agree. Most of them kept Los Angeles at +600 instead of cutting the price back to +500.

Buffalo's rise is about points. The Bills won 36–31 in Houston and then beat Detroit 41–31 on Thursday night, September 17. Two shootouts won is a strong start. It also means their defense has given up 62 points in two games, which is worth remembering before you take +750.

Quarterback injuries did the rest. Chicago scored 59 points in Week 1, then lost 9–3 to Minnesota, and Caleb Williams left in the fourth quarter with a hamstring injury. He is listed week to week, and DraftKings moved the Bears from +2100 to +3000. Washington dropped to 0–2 with a 37–20 loss in Dallas, where Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow for the second season running; the Commanders are out to about +7400. Seattle's quarterback news was better, as the section on the defending champion below explains.

Why the Rams Are Priced Like This

SoFi Stadium is the Rams' home ground, so a Rams run to February would end with a Super Bowl played in their own building. That has happened twice. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won Super Bowl LV at Raymond James Stadium in 2021, and the Rams themselves won Super Bowl LVI at SoFi a year later, beating Cincinnati 23–20. Before 2021 no team had even reached a Super Bowl in its own stadium.

Two home wins from two chances makes a good story, and stories move futures money. That is one reason a 3–4 team is the fourth name on the board at +1050, about 8.7% implied. The route has become harder, though. The Rams are three games behind San Francisco in their own division, and a wild card team has to win three road or neutral playoff games before the final. Their losses have been close, which argues the price has overreacted. If you are backing them for the venue alone, you are paying for a narrative the price already includes.

Can Seattle Repeat?

Back-to-back titles are rare. The Kansas City Chiefs are the most recent team to do it, winning Super Bowls LVII and LVIII, and their bid for a third straight ended against Philadelphia in Super Bowl LIX. Before Kansas City you have to go back to the New England Patriots of the 2003 and 2004 seasons.

The market is treating Seattle accordingly. Their price drifted all summer while the Rams' shortened. The opening win also came at a cost. Sam Darnold was sacked on the first drive, left with a hip injury and did not return, and Drew Lock led the second-half comeback. The team later called it a soft-tissue injury around the glute, with no damage to the hip joint. Darnold sat out the September 20 game against Arizona, and Lock made the most of it: three touchdown passes to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, no turnovers, and a 31–7 win. Darnold returned to full practice ahead of the September 27 game against Washington.

Two wins, most of them played by the backup, changed the price. Seattle came back from about +1450 on September 10 to around +1000 on September 25, and the five big US books ranged from +850 at FanDuel to +1200 at DraftKings that day. A gap that wide is real money: a 100 stake returns 950 at one and 1,300 at the other. For bettors the wider point is that champions tend to carry public money, and books shade their prices for it. A drifting defending champion is sometimes the market correcting that shade rather than a verdict on the team, and Seattle's September suggests the summer drift went too far. Early October was steadier: a 33–31 loss in Washington and a 30–23 win over the Chargers. Then came two close defeats, 32–29 at home to San Francisco and 17–14 in overtime in Denver, with Darnold throwing four interceptions across the pair. Then Seattle held Kansas City to three points on October 25. At 4–3 it was +1100 at DraftKings on October 27. The November 2 bet365 snapshot lists Seattle at +1000; the record here excludes its Monday meeting with Chicago.

How Super Bowl Futures Pay

A Super Bowl future is a single bet on one team to win the final. American odds tell you the profit on a 100 stake: +500 returns 600 in total, the 500 profit plus your 100 back. The same price reads 6.00 in decimal and 5/1 in fractional. Our sportsbook guide covers the conversions in more detail.

The implied chance is 100 ÷ (odds + 100), so +500 works out to 16.7%. Add up that figure for all 32 teams and you land well above 100%. The excess is the bookmaker's margin, and on futures it is wider than on a single game, often 20–30% across the whole board. That is the price of locking in a number five months early.

Stake	Price	Return if it wins	Implied chance
50	+600	350	14.3%
50	+1000	550	9.1%
50	+2000	1,050	4.8%

Two practical consequences. First, the money sits in the bet from today until February 14, so it is not available for anything else during the season. Keep futures to a small slice of your bankroll. Second, a future is worth the most once your team is still alive in late January. If you hold a ticket on a team that reaches the conference championships, you can bet the other side of that game, or take a cash-out offer, to lock in a profit whatever happens. That only works if you bought early at a long price, which is the real case for futures in September.

NFL 2026 Season: Key Dates for Bettors

Futures prices do not move smoothly. They jump at a handful of points in the calendar, and knowing where those are tells you when a price is likely to be stale.

Date	Event	What it does to the odds
Sep 9	Season opener: Seahawks 13–10 Patriots	First real evidence after seven months of projections
Sep 13–14	Rest of Kickoff Weekend	Week 1 results swing prices harder than they should
Sep 17–21	Week 2: Bills 41–31 Lions, Rams 28–6 Giants	Injuries to Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels moved Chicago and Washington more than any score
Sep 25 to Oct 6	Weeks 3 and 4: Broncos 30–26 Rams, Patriots 29–26 Bills	49ers, Chiefs and Vikings the last unbeaten teams; Chargers and Texans winless
Oct 8–19	Weeks 5 and 6: 49ers 32–29 Seahawks, Bills 37–34 Rams (OT), Cardinals 18–16 Rams	San Francisco replaces the Rams as favorite; Seattle falls to 3–3
Oct 22–26	Week 7: Bears 30–24 Patriots, Falcons 29–20 49ers, Seahawks 20–3 Chiefs	San Francisco and Kansas City lose for the first time; Minnesota is the last unbeaten team
Oct 29 to Nov 2	Week 8: Bills 36–10 Ravens, Lions 19–15 Vikings, Broncos 28–24 Chiefs	No unbeaten teams remain; Bears–Seahawks result excluded pending confirmation
Nov 10	Trade deadline, 4 p.m. ET	Contenders add players; last big roster change of the year
Jan 16–18	Wild Card Weekend	Field drops to 14 teams; top seeds rest on a bye
Jan 23–24	Divisional round	Eight teams left
Jan 31	Conference championships	Last chance to hedge a futures ticket
Feb 14	Super Bowl LXI, SoFi Stadium	Futures settle

The early weeks deserve a warning. One game is a small sample, and markets overreact to it every September: a team that loses a close opener drifts, a team that wins big shortens, and a few weeks later much of that movement has reversed. If you rate a team that started badly, the week after its first loss is often the best price you will see all season. Injuries work the other way. A starting quarterback going down is the one piece of news that can legitimately move a futures price by half or more overnight.

NFL Bet Types Explained

If most of your betting is on soccer, the NFL board looks different. There is no draw to worry about, since overtime settles tied games in almost every case, and the headline market is the point spread rather than the moneyline.

Market	What you are betting on	Example
Point spread	The favorite must win by more than the line; the underdog can lose by less	Rams −3.5 (−110): Rams must win by 4 or more
Moneyline	Who wins the game, margin irrelevant	Bills −180 / Ravens +150
Total (over/under)	Combined points scored by both teams	Over 44.5 points
Player props	One player's numbers, whatever the result	Quarterback over 249.5 passing yards
Futures	Season-long outcomes that settle months later	Division winner, Super Bowl winner, MVP
Parlays	Several picks in one bet; all must win	Three spreads combined at roughly 6/1

The spread is built around key numbers. NFL games end with a margin of 3 or 7 points far more often than any other margin, because those are a field goal and a converted touchdown. That makes the half-point either side of 3 and 7 worth real money: −2.5 and −3.5 look almost identical and behave very differently. When a line sits on a whole number and the margin lands exactly on it, the bet is a push and your stake comes back.

The −110 is the book's margin. Both sides of a standard spread are priced at −110, meaning you stake 110 to win 100. You need to win about 52.4% of those bets just to break even, which is a useful reminder of how thin the edge in spread betting is.

Parlays compound the margin. A three-leg spread parlay pays around 6/1, while the fair price for three coin flips is 7/1. Same-game parlays, where every leg comes from one match, are priced even further in the book's favor because the legs are related. Parlay insurance promotions, such as the NFL Insurance free bet covered in our Rolletto review, soften a losing slip but do not change the margin on each leg. Treat parlays as entertainment stakes.

Super Bowl Props

The Super Bowl is the one game of the year where the prop menu runs to hundreds of markets, many of which have nothing to do with football: the coin toss, the length of the national anthem, the color of the drink poured over the winning coach. They are fun and priced with a wide margin. The football props are where the thought belongs.

• Super Bowl MVP. Quarterbacks win it more often than every other position combined, so the MVP market usually tracks the quarterback of the favorite. Walker's award last February is a reminder that a running back or a defender can take it when the game is won on the ground or by the defense.
• First touchdown scorer. Long prices and a big margin. Small stakes only.
• Total points and team totals. Ordinary markets on an unusual game. Both teams have two weeks to prepare, which tends to favor defenses early.
• Race to 10 points, first score type, longest touchdown. Settle on a single moment; good for following the game, poor for making money.

Most books post the full prop list only once the matchup is known after January 31, so this section will fill in as February gets closer.

Live Betting During NFL Games

American football is built for in-play betting. The game stops after every play, prices update drive by drive, and markets such as "result of this drive" or "next score" reopen dozens of times a game. That same structure is the risk: there is always another market seconds away, and a losing afternoon can turn into a chase before halftime.

Three rules help. Your stream is several seconds behind the book's data feed, so never try to bet on something you think you have just seen. Live margins are wider than pre-game margins. And the market tends to overreact to a single turnover or long touchdown early in a game, which is where patient bettors find value and impatient ones give it away. Set a stake limit for the session before kickoff and stop when you reach it.

Getting Paid: Do This Before the Playoffs

I test withdrawals for a living, and the pattern repeats around every big event: most delayed payouts come from the account, not the bookmaker. The Super Bowl is the busiest betting week of the year, and support queues grow with it.

Verify your account now. KYC normally takes 24–72 hours. Upload ID and proof of address in September while you are not waiting on a win, not the Monday after the final.

Check withdrawal limits against your futures. A 100 ticket at +2000 returns 2,100. If your account caps withdrawals at 500 a week, that win takes a month to reach you. Know the cap before you stake.

Read the bonus terms or skip the bonus. Winnings under an unfinished wagering requirement stay locked, and many betting bonuses exclude short prices or cap what a qualifying bet can pay. A clean account pays faster than a bonused one.

Withdraw to the method you deposited with. Same-method rules are standard. E-wallets usually land within hours of approval, cards in 1–3 business days, bank transfers up to five. Crypto withdrawals clear fastest of all, but the value can move between the request and the arrival.

Where to Bet on the Super Bowl

The bookmakers listed alongside this guide are the ones we list across our sportsbook guides, each checked for licensing, a real-money deposit and a timed withdrawal. All of them carry full NFL markets, including Super Bowl futures and props. One important limit: none of them accepts players located in the United States, where sports betting is regulated state by state. Check the restricted-country list in a site's terms before you register, wherever you are.

For deeper reviews of individual operators, including limits and payout times, see our Zotabet review or the wider tested-casino rankings. If you bet on soccer as well, our World Cup 2026 guide covers how the tournament played out and how its markets differ from the NFL's.