Super Bowl LXI Odds: Favorites, NFL Season Dates and How to Bet

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By the SportBar.Casino editorial team. Last updated: October 10, 2026.

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Super Bowl LXI at a Glance

The basics first, because two of them shape the betting more than they seem to: where the game is played, and who is defending the title.

Date	Sunday, February 14, 2027
Venue	SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California (home of the Rams and Chargers)
Broadcast (US)	ESPN and ABC, with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman on the call
Defending champion	Seattle Seahawks, 29–13 winners over New England in Super Bowl LX
Season opener	September 9, 2026: Seahawks 13, Patriots 10
Current favorite	Los Angeles Rams: +650 at DraftKings on Oct 10 (13.3% implied), 2–2 after four games
Still unbeaten	San Francisco, Kansas City and Minnesota, all 4–0

Super Bowl LX was played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara on February 8, 2026. Seattle built its lead with field goals, kept New England's offense quiet all night, and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Running back Kenneth Walker was named MVP after 135 rushing yards on 27 carries. Seven months later the two teams met again to open the new season, and Seattle won a much tighter game 13–10: Drake Maye threw three interceptions, the last of them to Josh Jobe to seal it.

Super Bowl LXI Odds: The Current Board

The table shows the twelve shortest prices on the DraftKings Super Bowl board on October 10, after four weeks of games and the Thursday night opener of Week 5, next to each team's record. The Sep 25 column is the middle price across five big US books (bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars and FanDuel) from our previous update, for the teams we tracked then. The last column is the implied probability of the October 10 price, worked out with the formula in the section on how futures pay, so it still includes the bookmaker's margin.

Team	Record	Sep 25	Oct 10	Implied chance
Los Angeles Rams	2–2	+600	+650	13.3%
Buffalo Bills	3–1	+750	+750	11.8%
Baltimore Ravens	3–1	+1000	+850	10.5%
San Francisco 49ers	4–0	+1000	+850	10.5%
Kansas City Chiefs	4–0	+1200	+900	10.0%
Seattle Seahawks	3–1	+1000	+950	9.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3–1	n/a	+1500	6.3%
Chicago Bears	3–1	n/a	+1600	5.9%
Cincinnati Bengals	2–2	+1600	+1900	5.0%
Denver Broncos	2–2	+2200	+2000	4.8%
Minnesota Vikings	4–0	n/a	+2200	4.3%
New England Patriots	2–2	+2000	+2500	3.8%

The Rams have been favorites since the summer and still are, although a 2–2 start has eased them from +600 to +650. Buffalo held at +750 through a home loss to New England. The biggest gains belong to the unbeaten teams: Kansas City shortened from about +1200 to +900 and San Francisco from about +1000 to +850, level with Baltimore. Three teams joined the top twelve: Jacksonville at +1500 after beating New England 35–6 and winning in Cincinnati, Chicago at +1600, and Minnesota at +2200 after a 4–0 start built on defense. At the other end, the Chargers are 0–4 and out to +10000, and Houston, also winless, sits at +4500.

Prices at individual books will differ from these by a few points either way, and that gap is the whole reason to compare before you bet. A team at +1400 in one place and +1600 in another is the same ticket at two different prices; over a season of futures, taking the better number is worth more than most tips.

Weeks 3 and 4: What Moved the Board

The Rams split two road games. They lost 30–26 in Denver on September 28 and won 24–20 in Philadelphia a week later, which is roughly what a +600 favorite is supposed to look like, and books moved them only to +650. Buffalo beat the Chargers 24–16, then lost 29–26 at home to New England on October 4, the first defeat of the season for a team whose defense had already given up 62 points in two games.

San Francisco is 4–0 after a 36–30 shootout with Arizona and a 24–14 win over Denver. Kansas City won at Miami 24–10 and at Las Vegas 30–27, Baltimore edged Dallas 34–31 in Rio de Janeiro and then beat Tennessee 24–18, and Minnesota allowed 26 points across the same two weeks in wins over Tampa Bay and Miami. Seattle lost 33–31 in Washington before beating the Chargers 30–23.

Week 5 opened on October 8 with Tampa Bay winning 24–16 in Dallas, which left the Cowboys 2–3. The two games most likely to reshape the top of the table come next: Seattle hosts San Francisco on October 11, and the Rams host Buffalo on Monday night, October 12.

Weeks 1 and 2: What Moved the Board

The Rams lost their opener 27–7 to San Francisco in Melbourne on the night of September 10, the NFL's first regular-season game in Australia, and DraftKings pushed them from +500 to +600 the next morning. Eleven days later they beat the Giants 28–6 on Monday Night Football at SoFi. Matthew Stafford went 22 of 31 for 327 yards and four touchdowns, and Davante Adams caught eight passes for 195 yards and two scores. The Giants lost quarterback Jaxson Dart to a knee injury on their seventh snap, though, so the score flatters the Rams a little. Books seem to agree. Most of them kept Los Angeles at +600 instead of cutting the price back to +500.

Buffalo's rise is about points. The Bills won 36–31 in Houston and then beat Detroit 41–31 on Thursday night, September 17. Two shootouts won is a strong start. It also means their defense has given up 62 points in two games, which is worth remembering before you take +750.

Quarterback injuries did the rest. Chicago scored 59 points in Week 1, then lost 9–3 to Minnesota, and Caleb Williams left in the fourth quarter with a hamstring injury. He is listed week to week, and DraftKings moved the Bears from +2100 to +3000. Washington dropped to 0–2 with a 37–20 loss in Dallas, where Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow for the second season running; the Commanders are out to about +7400. Seattle's quarterback news was better, as the section on the defending champion below explains.

Why the Rams Are Priced Like This

SoFi Stadium is the Rams' home ground, so a Rams run to February would end with a Super Bowl played in their own building. That has happened twice. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won Super Bowl LV at Raymond James Stadium in 2021, and the Rams themselves won Super Bowl LVI at SoFi a year later, beating Cincinnati 23–20. Before 2021 no team had even reached a Super Bowl in its own stadium.

Two home wins from two chances makes a good story, and stories move futures money. It does not change the route: the Rams still have to get through the regular season and win up to three playoff games before the stadium comes into it. At +650 the market says they get there and win a little more than one season in eight. If you disagree with that number, in either direction, that is where a bet starts. If you are backing them because of the venue alone, you are paying for a narrative the price already includes.

Can Seattle Repeat?

Back-to-back titles are rare. The Kansas City Chiefs are the most recent team to do it, winning Super Bowls LVII and LVIII, and their bid for a third straight ended against Philadelphia in Super Bowl LIX. Before Kansas City you have to go back to the New England Patriots of the 2003 and 2004 seasons.

The market is treating Seattle accordingly. Their price drifted all summer while the Rams' shortened. The opening win also came at a cost. Sam Darnold was sacked on the first drive, left with a hip injury and did not return, and Drew Lock led the second-half comeback. The team later called it a soft-tissue injury around the glute, with no damage to the hip joint. Darnold sat out the September 20 game against Arizona, and Lock made the most of it: three touchdown passes to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, no turnovers, and a 31–7 win. Darnold practiced fully this week, is off the injury report, and starts against Washington on September 27.

Two wins, most of them played by the backup, changed the price. Seattle came back from about +1450 on September 10 to around +1000 on September 25, and the five big US books ranged from +850 at FanDuel to +1200 at DraftKings that day. A gap that wide is real money: a 100 stake returns 950 at one and 1,300 at the other. For bettors the wider point is that champions tend to carry public money, and books shade their prices for it. A drifting defending champion is sometimes the market correcting that shade rather than a verdict on the team, and Seattle's September suggests the summer drift went too far. October has been steadier: a 33–31 loss in Washington, a 30–23 win over the Chargers, a 3–1 record and +950 at DraftKings on October 10.

How Super Bowl Futures Pay

A Super Bowl future is a single bet on one team to win the final. American odds tell you the profit on a 100 stake: +500 returns 600 in total, the 500 profit plus your 100 back. The same price reads 6.00 in decimal and 5/1 in fractional. Our sportsbook guide covers the conversions in more detail.

The implied chance is 100 ÷ (odds + 100), so +500 works out to 16.7%. Add up that figure for all 32 teams and you land well above 100%. The excess is the bookmaker's margin, and on futures it is wider than on a single game, often 20–30% across the whole board. That is the price of locking in a number five months early.

Stake	Price	Return if it wins	Implied chance
50	+600	350	14.3%
50	+1000	550	9.1%
50	+2000	1,050	4.8%

Two practical consequences. First, the money sits in the bet from today until February 14, so it is not available for anything else during the season. Keep futures to a small slice of your bankroll. Second, a future is worth the most once your team is still alive in late January. If you hold a ticket on a team that reaches the conference championships, you can bet the other side of that game, or take a cash-out offer, to lock in a profit whatever happens. That only works if you bought early at a long price, which is the real case for futures in September.

NFL 2026 Season: Key Dates for Bettors

Futures prices do not move smoothly. They jump at a handful of points in the calendar, and knowing where those are tells you when a price is likely to be stale.

Date	Event	What it does to the odds
Sep 9	Season opener: Seahawks 13–10 Patriots	First real evidence after seven months of projections
Sep 13–14	Rest of Kickoff Weekend	Week 1 results swing prices harder than they should
Sep 17–21	Week 2: Bills 41–31 Lions, Rams 28–6 Giants	Injuries to Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels moved Chicago and Washington more than any score
Sep 25 to Oct 6	Weeks 3 and 4: Broncos 30–26 Rams, Patriots 29–26 Bills	49ers, Chiefs and Vikings the last unbeaten teams; Chargers and Texans winless
Oct 11–12	Week 5: Seahawks vs 49ers, Rams vs Bills	Two top-six teams meet twice in one weekend
Nov 10	Trade deadline, 4 p.m. ET	Contenders add players; last big roster change of the year
Jan 16–18	Wild Card Weekend	Field drops to 14 teams; top seeds rest on a bye
Jan 23–24	Divisional round	Eight teams left
Jan 31	Conference championships	Last chance to hedge a futures ticket
Feb 14	Super Bowl LXI, SoFi Stadium	Futures settle

The early weeks deserve a warning. One game is a small sample, and markets overreact to it every September: a team that loses a close opener drifts, a team that wins big shortens, and a few weeks later much of that movement has reversed. If you rate a team that started badly, the week after its first loss is often the best price you will see all season. Injuries work the other way. A starting quarterback going down is the one piece of news that can legitimately move a futures price by half or more overnight.

NFL Bet Types Explained

If most of your betting is on soccer, the NFL board looks different. There is no draw to worry about, since overtime settles tied games in almost every case, and the headline market is the point spread rather than the moneyline.

Market	What you are betting on	Example
Point spread	The favorite must win by more than the line; the underdog can lose by less	Rams −3.5 (−110): Rams must win by 4 or more
Moneyline	Who wins the game, margin irrelevant	Bills −180 / Ravens +150
Total (over/under)	Combined points scored by both teams	Over 44.5 points
Player props	One player's numbers, whatever the result	Quarterback over 249.5 passing yards
Futures	Season-long outcomes that settle months later	Division winner, Super Bowl winner, MVP
Parlays	Several picks in one bet; all must win	Three spreads combined at roughly 6/1

The spread is built around key numbers. NFL games end with a margin of 3 or 7 points far more often than any other margin, because those are a field goal and a converted touchdown. That makes the half-point either side of 3 and 7 worth real money: −2.5 and −3.5 look almost identical and behave very differently. When a line sits on a whole number and the margin lands exactly on it, the bet is a push and your stake comes back.

The −110 is the book's margin. Both sides of a standard spread are priced at −110, meaning you stake 110 to win 100. You need to win about 52.4% of those bets just to break even, which is a useful reminder of how thin the edge in spread betting is.

Parlays compound the margin. A three-leg spread parlay pays around 6/1, while the fair price for three coin flips is 7/1. Same-game parlays, where every leg comes from one match, are priced even further in the book's favor because the legs are related. Parlay insurance promotions, such as the NFL Insurance free bet covered in our Rolletto review, soften a losing slip but do not change the margin on each leg. Treat parlays as entertainment stakes.

Super Bowl Props

The Super Bowl is the one game of the year where the prop menu runs to hundreds of markets, many of which have nothing to do with football: the coin toss, the length of the national anthem, the color of the drink poured over the winning coach. They are fun and priced with a wide margin. The football props are where the thought belongs.

• Super Bowl MVP. Quarterbacks win it more often than every other position combined, so the MVP market usually tracks the quarterback of the favorite. Walker's award last February is a reminder that a running back or a defender can take it when the game is won on the ground or by the defense.
• First touchdown scorer. Long prices and a big margin. Small stakes only.
• Total points and team totals. Ordinary markets on an unusual game. Both teams have two weeks to prepare, which tends to favor defenses early.
• Race to 10 points, first score type, longest touchdown. Settle on a single moment; good for following the game, poor for making money.

Most books post the full prop list only once the matchup is known after January 31, so this section will fill in as February gets closer.

Live Betting During NFL Games

American football is built for in-play betting. The game stops after every play, prices update drive by drive, and markets such as "result of this drive" or "next score" reopen dozens of times a game. That same structure is the risk: there is always another market seconds away, and a losing afternoon can turn into a chase before halftime.

Three rules help. Your stream is several seconds behind the book's data feed, so never try to bet on something you think you have just seen. Live margins are wider than pre-game margins. And the market tends to overreact to a single turnover or long touchdown early in a game, which is where patient bettors find value and impatient ones give it away. Set a stake limit for the session before kickoff and stop when you reach it.

Getting Paid: Do This Before the Playoffs

I test withdrawals for a living, and the pattern repeats around every big event: most delayed payouts come from the account, not the bookmaker. The Super Bowl is the busiest betting week of the year, and support queues grow with it.

Verify your account now. KYC normally takes 24–72 hours. Upload ID and proof of address in September while you are not waiting on a win, not the Monday after the final.

Check withdrawal limits against your futures. A 100 ticket at +2000 returns 2,100. If your account caps withdrawals at 500 a week, that win takes a month to reach you. Know the cap before you stake.

Read the bonus terms or skip the bonus. Winnings under an unfinished wagering requirement stay locked, and many betting bonuses exclude short prices or cap what a qualifying bet can pay. A clean account pays faster than a bonused one.

Withdraw to the method you deposited with. Same-method rules are standard. E-wallets usually land within hours of approval, cards in 1–3 business days, bank transfers up to five. Crypto withdrawals clear fastest of all, but the value can move between the request and the arrival.

Where to Bet on the Super Bowl

The bookmakers listed alongside this guide are the ones we list across our sportsbook guides, each checked for licensing, a real-money deposit and a timed withdrawal. All of them carry full NFL markets, including Super Bowl futures and props. One important limit: none of them accepts players located in the United States, where sports betting is regulated state by state. Check the restricted-country list in a site's terms before you register, wherever you are.

For deeper reviews of individual operators, including limits and payout times, see our Zotabet review or the wider tested-casino rankings. If you bet on soccer as well, our World Cup 2026 guide covers how the tournament played out and how its markets differ from the NFL's.